Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts

31 January 2015

Practical Meteorology

Practical Meteorology is all about applying all that meteorological theory to actual weather observations and forecasts.  There were a couple things I'd forgotten.   For example, with cloud layers, anything with 5/8 (broken) coverage or greater constitutes a ceiling.  This is not true if the it is a surface based layer, such as fog or snow.  In this case, the coverage must bee 8/8 to be considered a ceiling.  

Also, there are some charts that I don't use on a daily basis, because they cover much larger areas than I need on my regular runs between Montreal and Toronto.  When doing my practice questions, I was getting questions with regards to issuing and validity times wrong, so I knew it was time to consult the AIM.  

Prognosis = Forecast
Analysis = Observation

Reference AIM MET 3.2.1 Aviation Forecasts and Charts

Significant Weather Forecast - PROG Chart

  • prepared 4 times daily, based on 00Z and 12Z data
  • issued 12 hours prior to validity time (00, 06, 12, 18Z)
  • specific flight level range (i.e. 700 - 400 MB = FL100 - FL240; also FL250-630)
  • indicate surface positions of lows, highs, and any significant weather (thunderstorms, turbulence, mountain waves, etc)
  • a forecast area of turbulence implies a 50% probability of encountering turbulence somewhere within the depicted area
  • jet streams are depicted when the core speed is forecast to attain 80 knots or more


Upper Level Forecast - PROG Chart

  • issued 4 times daily, 12 hours before the validity times of 00, 06, 12, 18Z
  • applicable FL240, FL340, FL390, FL450
  • depicts forecast wind and temperatures for the chart level


Reference AIM MET 3.2.3 Weather Charts


Surface Weather Chart
  • observed at 00, 06, 12, 18Z
  • issued 2-3 hours after observation
  • pressure patterns from surface up to 3000 ft
  • surface location of fronts, precipitation, obstructions to vision

Upper Level Chart - ANAL
  • observed at 00 and 12Z
  • issued over 3 hours after observation
  • show reported atmospheric conditions at the pressure levels, such as wind speed/direction, temperatures, moisture content
  • the contours or altitude gradient can be considered as the slope of the pressure surface